Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000684 0.000713 0.000742 0.000774 0.000808 0.000843 0.000882
2025-11-02 0.000635 0.000678 0.000723 0.000773 0.000829 0.000889 0.000958
2025-11-09 0.000590 0.000641 0.000697 0.000761 0.000834 0.000915 0.001012
2025-11-16 0.000555 0.000612 0.000676 0.000751 0.000839 0.000938 0.001061
2025-11-23 0.000539 0.000603 0.000675 0.000762 0.000866 0.000988 0.001142
2025-11-30 0.000520 0.000589 0.000667 0.000764 0.000882 0.001022 0.001205
2025-12-07 0.000497 0.000568 0.000650 0.000754 0.000881 0.001037 0.001244
2025-12-14 0.000476 0.000549 0.000634 0.000742 0.000879 0.001048 0.001277
2025-12-21 0.000459 0.000533 0.000621 0.000735 0.000879 0.001061 0.001314
2025-12-28 0.000433 0.000505 0.000592 0.000705 0.000850 0.001036 0.001296
2026-01-04 0.000418 0.000491 0.000579 0.000695 0.000846 0.001042 0.001322
2026-01-11 0.000407 0.000481 0.000571 0.000691 0.000850 0.001058 0.001360
2026-01-18 0.000394 0.000469 0.000560 0.000683 0.000848 0.001068 0.001393
2026-01-25 0.000386 0.000463 0.000557 0.000686 0.000861 0.001097 0.001454
2026-02-01 0.000374 0.000450 0.000546 0.000677 0.000857 0.001104 0.001483
2026-02-08 0.000363 0.000439 0.000536 0.000669 0.000854 0.001111 0.001513
2026-02-15 0.000360 0.000438 0.000538 0.000679 0.000876 0.001155 0.001600
2026-02-22 0.000354 0.000433 0.000535 0.000680 0.000886 0.001182 0.001662
2026-03-01 0.000344 0.000423 0.000525 0.000671 0.000881 0.001186 0.001689
2026-03-08 0.000334 0.000413 0.000515 0.000662 0.000875 0.001188 0.001711
2026-03-15 0.000326 0.000405 0.000507 0.000655 0.000873 0.001195 0.001742
2026-03-22 0.000312 0.000387 0.000486 0.000630 0.000841 0.001156 0.001695
2026-03-29 0.000304 0.000379 0.000477 0.000621 0.000835 0.001157 0.001714